Pubblicazioni scientifiche

Pubblicazioni scientifiche

Pubblicazioni scientifiche

BARTOLINI, S., CHIARAMONTE, A., & D’ALIMONTE, R. D. R. (2002). Maggioritario finalmente? Il bilancio di tre prove. In R. D’Alimonte & S. Bartolini (Eds.), Maggioritario finalmente? La transizione elettorale 1994-2001 (pp. 363–379). Bologn...

D’ALIMONTE, R. D. R. (2007). Il nuovo sistema elettorale:dal collegio uninominale al premio di maggioranza. In R. D’Alimonte & A. Chiaramonte (Eds.), Proporzionale ma non solo (pp. 51–89). Bologna: Il Mulino.

D’ALIMONTE, R. D. R., & S, V. (2006). Chi è arrivato primo? In ITANES (Ed.), Dov’è la vittoria? (pp. 13–34). Bologna: Il Mulino.

In 2011 Italian local elections we observed high electoral mobility: in Milan, for example, the center-left gained his first-time victory in the Berlusconi era, while in Naples there was a significant split voting in the first round and a huge turnaround between the first and the second ballot. A general research question emerged: are the shifts in the results understandable trough a left-right axis (political nature hypothesis of these elections) or were there cross-cutting mechanisms (local nature hypothesis of the elections with a strong role of personal aspects)? To answer the question we analyze the voting ecological estimates in the three biggest cities involved in 2011 elections: Milan, Naples and Turin. For every matrix we generated the estimates both applying the traditional Goodman model (for the whole city and splitting by district) and the hierarchical multinomial-dirichlet model developed by Rosen, Jiang, King and Taner. The most important result of our study is the strong political polarization of the vote in the two northern cities and a great importance of the local factors in Naples, where only a dominant role of the candidates can make sense of the detected shifts in voting behaviour.

To cite the article: Improta, M. (2023), 'Paralysed governments: How political constraints elicit cabinet termination', Parliamentary Affairs, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsad023. The article, published on Parliamentary Affairs, can be accessed here. Abstract A crucial feature of the democratic life cycle, government stability, has prompted the interest of many scholars across the globe. As a result, research on this matter has established itself as one of the most developed agendas in comparative politics. However, despite the abundance of studies on the drivers of government stability, the ruling...