Segnalazione bibliografica.
American Journal of Political Science, Volume 55, Number 4, 1 October 2011 , pp. 852-868(17)
Autori: Michael M. Bechtel; Jens Hainmueller
Abstract
Dominant theories of electoral behavior emphasize that voters myopically evaluate policy performance and that this shortsightedness may obstruct the welfare-improving effect of democratic accountability. However, we know little about how long governments receive electoral credit for beneficial policies. We exploit the massive policy response to a major natural disaster, the 2002 Elbe flooding in Germany, to provide an upper bound for the short- and long-term electoral returns to targeted policy benefits. We estimate that the flood response increased vote...