Introduction: a perfect storm?
Lorenzo De Sio, Vincenzo Emanuele, Nicola Maggini and Aldo Paparo
Part 1 – Before the elections
How Berlusconi could yet pull off the unimaginable
Roberto D’Alimonte
2013 Italian Parliamentary Election Pre-Election Report
Aldo Paparo
Even in the Chamber of Deputies, the result is not to be taken for granted
Roberto D’Alimonte
The uncertainty of Monti’s electoral hold
Roberto D’Alimonte
The 2013 Senate lottery: Possible scenarios
Aldo Paparo
Part 2 – The electoral results
The live coverage on the CISE website on election day
CISE
Turnout: An accelerated decline
Federico De Lucia and Matteo Cataldi
An electoral tsunami hits Italy: 50 provinces washed away from PD and PdL
Matteo Cataldi and Vincenzo Emanuele
The center-right and center-left coalitions lose almost 11 million votes
Roberto D’Alimonte and Nicola Maggini
Italian parties’ loss of support and the success of a new political actor
Nicola Maggini
Votes to coalitions at the local level: Berlusconi takes the lead in small towns, and Bersani wins in the cities
Vincenzo Emanuele
Volatile and tripolar: The new Italian party system
Alessandro Chiaramonte and Vincenzo Emanuele
A “media divide” in the vote of February 25?
Lorenzo De Sio
Part 3 – Vote shifts
Vote shifts in Turin and Palermo
Roberto D’Alimonte and Lorenzo De Sio
The elections in Rome through an analysis of vote shifts
Matteo Cataldi and Aldo Paparo
Vote shifts between the Chamber and the Senate: The rise of the M5S and fall of the PD among young people
Aldo Paparo and Matteo Cataldi
Waves of support: M5S between 2010 and 2013
Aldo Paparo and Matteo Cataldi
Part 4 – Elected parliamentarians
The 2013 Parliament: New and more gender-balanced
Federico De Lucia
PD’s elected parliamentarians: Reelection rate, women, and political composition
Federico De Lucia
Center-right’s elected parliamentarians: PdL and Lega Nord
Federico De Lucia
Part 5 – Post-vote scenarios
After Napolitano: The calculation of the votes
Roberto D’Alimonte
Back to elections? Porcellum would generate ungovernability again
Roberto D’Alimonte
The vote of confidence hinders the minority government
Roberto D’Alimonte
First a reform of the Senate and then the electoral law
Roberto D’Alimonte
Conclusions: what lies ahead?
Lorenzo De Sio, Vincenzo Emanuele, Nicola Maggini and Aldo Paparo