The Valence Side of the EU: EU Issue Voting in the Aftermath of the Eurozone Crisis

To cite the article:

Carrieri, L., & Angelucci, D. (2021). The Valence Side of the EU: EU Issue Voting in the Aftermath of the Eurozone Crisis. Swiss Political Science Review, 00, 1– 20.

The article is open access and can be accessed here.


In the aftermath of the Euro crisis, EU issues have increasingly affected electoral behaviour, explaining a sizable shift in votes from the Europhile to Eurosceptic parties. This paper advances the argument that EU issue voting is not entirely encompassed in a divisive (pro-/anti-) EU dimension, testing the hypothesis that a EU valence voting is currently conditioning electoral behaviour. In particular, we posit that voters support parties evaluating their credibility in achieving not only EU positional goals (‘leave/remain’ in the EU), but also EU valence ones (i. ( e., making the country count more in Europe). Furthermore, we assess which parties – pro-/anti-EU – are more likely to be supported on the basis of this valence issue. Based on survey data from France (2017) and Italy (2018), we found that the EU valence issue is an important voting predictor, with pro-EU parties mainly benefitting from it.

Luca Carrieri è dottorando di ricerca presso la Luiss Guido Carli e attualmente sta svolgendo un periodo di visiting presso University of Houston. I suoi principali interessi sono i mutamenti organizzativi dei partiti ed i comportamenti di voto in Italia e in Europa. Ha recentemente collaborato ai dossier CISE, “Le Elezioni Politiche 2013” e “Le Elezioni Europee del 2014” e con “Astrid rassegna”.
Davide Angelucci is a lecturer at the Department of Political Science of Luiss University, Rome. He has been a visiting student at Royal Holloway University of London and at the Instituto de Ciências Sociais da Universidade de Lisboa. He is currently a member of the Italian Centre for Electoral Studies (CISE) and part of the editorial board of the journal Italian Political Science (IPS). His research interests include elections and electoral behaviour, party politics, class politics, and public opinion. His work has been published in journals like European Union Politics, West European Politics, South European Society and Politics, Swiss Political Science Review and others.