Introduction: a perfect storm? Lorenzo De Sio, Vincenzo Emanuele, Nicola Maggini and Aldo Paparo Part 1 – Before the elections How Berlusconi could yet pull off the unimaginable Roberto D’Alimonte 2013 Italian Parliamentary Election Pre-Election Report Aldo Paparo Even in the Chamber of Deputies, the result is not to be taken for granted Roberto D’Alimonte The uncertainty of Monti’s electoral hold Roberto D’Alimonte The 2013 Senate lottery: Possible scenarios Aldo Paparo Part 2 – The electoral results The live coverage on the CISE website on election day CISE Turnout: An accelerated decline Federico De Lucia and Matteo Cataldi An electoral tsunami hits Italy: 50 provinces washed away from PD and PdL Matteo Cataldi and Vincenzo Emanuele The center-right and...

di Roberto D'Alimonte Articolo pubblicato sul Financial Times il 14 febbraio 2013 Can Silvio Berlusconi do it? A few weeks ago the prospect that  Italy's  former prime minister  would stage a comeback was laughable.  Now, with less than two weeks to go before polling day, it may be the media magnate  and playboy former premier  who has the last  laugh.  The last  opinion polls published  before an official blackout period point to a closer race than many expected: the gap between Pier Luigi Bersani's  left-of-centre coalition  and Mr Berlusconi's  right­ of-centre alliance  has  narrowed  to 5-6 percentage  points. In most western...

Panel 1: David W. Brady and Arjun  S. Wilkins Secular realignment in the United States 1937-2010: a preliminary analysis Samuel J. Abrams and Morris P. Fiorina Are leaning independents deluded or dishonest weak partisans? Douglas Rivers Party identification in the US over the electoral cycle Panel 2: Roberto D’Alimonte, Lorenzo De Sio and Nicola Maggini Party identification and party system change: Italy between the First and the Second Republic Hermann Schmitt and Paolo Segatti Political parties, left-right orientations and the vote in Italy, France and Germany Panel 3: Piergiorgio Corbetta and Pasquale Colloca Political orientation in times of crisis in Italy: the consequences of job precariousness Radoslaw Markowski Idiosyncrasies of party identification in...

An international scientific conference organized by the CISE, in collaboration with the LUISS School of Government and the ITANES Association - Italian National Election Studies. Rome, 6-7 October 2011 Main Meeting Room LUISS School of Government Via di Villa Emiliani 14 Participants: Paolo Bellucci University of Siena David Brady Stanford University Bruno Cautres CNRS and CEVIPOF - Paris Pasquale Colloca University of Bologna Piergiorgio Corbetta University of Bologna Chistophe Crombez University of Leuven, Stanford University Roberto D’Alimonte LUISS Guido Carli  - Rome Lorenzo De Sio LUISS Guido Carli - Rome Morris Fiorina Stanford University Donald Green Columbia University Bernard Grofman University of California, Irvine Nicola Maggini SUM - Florence Radoslaw Markowski Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw School of Social Sciences and Humanities Douglas Rivers Stanford University Hans M.A. Schadee University of Milano-Bicocca Hermann Schmitt University of...