Autore: Redazione CISE

  • When Distance Mattered: Geographic Scale and the Development of European Representative Assemblies

    Segnalazione bibliografica.

    American Political Science Review (2010), vol.104, n.4: 625-643

    Autore: David Stasavage

    Abstract

    Scholars investigating European state development have long placed a heavy emphasis on the role played by representative institutions. The presence of an active representative assembly, it is argued, allowed citizens and rulers to contract over raising revenue and accessing credit. It may also have had implications for economic growth. These arguments have in turn been used to draw broad implications about the causal effect of analogous institutions in other places and during other time periods. But if assemblies had such clear efficiency benefits, why did they not become a universal phenomenon in Europe prior to the nineteenth century? I argue that in an era of costly communications and transport, an intensive form of political representative was much easier to sustain in geographically compact polities. This simple fact had important implications for the pattern of European state formation, and it may provide one reason why small states were able to survive despite threats from much larger neighbors. I test several relevant hypotheses using an original data set that provides the first broad view of European representative institutions in the medieval and early modern eras. I combine this with a geographic information system data set of state boundaries and populations in Europe between 1250 and 1750. The results suggest a strong effect of geographic scale on the format of political representation.

    The broader implication of this result is to provide a reminder that if institutions help solve contracting problems, ultimately, the maintenance of institutions may itself depend on ongoing transactions costs.

    Full text: https://politics.as.nyu.edu/docs/IO/5395/when_distanced_mattered.pdf

  • Party Affiliation, Partisanship, and Political Beliefs: A Field Experiment

    Segnalazione bibliografica.

    National Bureau of Economic Research (2009), working paper n. 15365

    Autori: Alan S. Gerber, Gregory A. Huber, Ebonya Washington

    Abstract

    Political partisanship is strongly correlated with attitudes and behavior, but it is unclear from this pattern whether partisan identity has a causal effect on political behavior and attitudes. We report the results of a field experiment designed to investigate the causal effect of party identification. Prior to the February 2008 Connecticut presidential primary, researchers sent a mailing to a random sample of unaffiliated registered voters informing them of the need to register in order to participate in the upcoming primary. Comparing post-treatment survey responses to subjects’ baseline survey responses, we find that those informed of the need to register with a party were more likely to affiliate with a party and subsequently showed stronger partisanship. Further, we find that the treatment group also demonstrated greater concordance than the control group between their pre-treatment latent partisanship and their post-treatment reported voting behavior and intentions and evaluations of partisan figures. Thus our treatment, which caused a strengthening of partisan identity, also caused a shift in subjects’ candidate preferences and evaluations of salient political figures. This finding is consistent with the claim that partisanship is an active force changing how citizens behave in and perceive the political world.

    Full text: https://www.nber.org/papers/w15365

  • The Moving Centre: Preferences for Government Activity in Britain, 1950–2005

    Segnalazione bibliografica.

    British Journal of Political Science (2011), 41: 259-285

    Autori: John Bartle, Sebastian Dellepiane-Avellaneda, James Stimson

    Abstract

    The political ‘centre’ is often discussed in debates about public policy and analyses of party strategies and election outcomes. Yet, to date, there has been little effort to estimate the political centre outside the United States. This article outlines a method of estimating the political centre using public opinion data collected for the period between 1950 and 2005. It is demonstrated that it is possible to measure the centre in Britain, that it moves over time, that it shifts in response to government activity and, furthermore, that it has an observable association with general election outcomes.

    Full text: https://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&aid=8130877

  • Downs, Stokes and the Dynamics of Electoral Choice

    Segnalazione bibliografica.

    British Journal of Political Science (2011), 41: 287-314

    Autori: David Sanders, Harold D. Clarke, Marianne C. Stewart, Paul Whiteley

    Abstract

    A six-wave 2005–09 national panel survey conducted in conjunction with the British Election Study provided data for an investigation of sources of stability and change in voters’ party preferences. The authors test competing spatial and valence theories of party choice and investigate the hypothesis that spatial calculations provide cues for making valence judgements. Analyses reveal that valence mechanisms – heuristics based on party leader images, party performance evaluations and mutable partisan attachments – outperform a spatial model in terms of strength of direct effects on party choice. However, spatial effects still have sizeable indirect effects on the vote via their influence on valence judgements. The results of exogeneity tests bolster claims about the flow of influence from spatial calculations to valence judgments to electoral choice.

    Full text: https://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayFulltext?type=1&fid=8130885&jid=JPS&volumeId=41&issueId=02&aid=8130883

  • Party-System Extremism in Majoritarian and Proportional Electoral Systems

    Segnalazione bibliografica.

    British Journal of Political Science (2011), 41: 341-361

    Autore: Jay K. Dow

     

    Abstract

    This study evaluates the extent of party-system extremism in thirty-one electoral democracies as a function of electoral-system proportionality. It uses data from the Comparative Studies of Electoral Systems project to estimate the extent of party-system compactness or dispersion across polities and to determine whether more proportional systems foster greater ideological divergence among parties. Electoral system characteristics most associated with party-system compactness in the ideological space are investigated. The empirics show that more proportional systems support greater ideological dispersion, while less proportional systems encourage parties to cluster nearer the centre of the electoral space. This finding is maintained in several sub-samples of national elections and does not depend on the inclusion of highly majoritarian systems (such as the United Kingdom).

    Full text: https://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayFulltext?type=1&fid=8130864&jid=JPS&volumeId=41&issueId=02&aid=8130862

  • Risk Inequality and the Polarized American Electorate

    Segnalazione bibliografica.

    British Journal of Political Science (2011), 41: 363-387

    Autore: Philipp Rehm

    Abstract

    Why has the American political landscape grown more partisan since the 1970s? This article provides a novel account of the determinants of partisanship. The author argues that partisanship is not only shaped by the traditionally suggested socio-economic factors, but also by the uncertainty of future income (risk exposure): rich individuals facing a high degree of risk exposure (or poor people facing low risk exposure) are ‘cross-pressured’; while their income suggests that they should identify with the Republicans, their income prospects make them sympathize with the Democrats. These two traits have overlapped increasingly since the 1970s. Those with lower incomes tend to be also those with higher risk exposure (risk inequality increased). This has led to a sorting of the American electorate: more citizens have become ‘natural’ partisans.

    Full text: https://polisci.osu.edu/faculty/rehm/Rehm_BJPS.pdf

  • Polls, coalition signals and strategic voting: An experimental investigation of perceptions and effects

    Segnalazione bibliografica.

    European Journal of Political Research, online version

    Autori: Micheal F. Effert, Thomas Gschwend

    Abstract

    Polls and coalition signals can help strategic voters in multiparty systems with proportional representation and coalition governments to optimise their vote decision. Using a laboratory experiment embedded in two real election campaigns, this study focuses on voters’ attention to and perception of polls and coalition signals. The manipulation of polls and coalition signals allows a causal test of their influence on strategic voting in a realistic environment. The findings suggest that active information acquisition to form fairly accurate perceptions of election outcomes can compensate for the advantage of high political sophistication. The theory of strategic voting is supported by the evidence, but only for a small number of voters. Most insincere vote decisions are explained by other factors. Thus, the common practice to consider all insincere voters as strategic is misleading.

    Full text: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1475-6765.2010.01986.x/abstract

  • Informal Social Networks and Rational Voting

    Segnalazione bibliografica.

    British Journal of Political Science (2011), 41: 229-257

    Autori: Samuel Abrams, Torben Iversen, David Soskice

    Abstract

    Classical rational choice explanations of voting participation are widely thought to have failed. This article argues that the currently dominant Group Mobilization and Ethical Agency approaches have serious shortcomings in explaining individually rational turnout. It develops an informal social network (ISN) model in which people rationally vote if their informal networks of family and friends attach enough importance to voting, because voting leads to social approval and vice versa. Using results from the social psychology literature, research on social groups in sociology and their own survey data, the authors argue that the ISN model can explain individually rational non-altruistic turnout. If group variables that affect whether voting is used as a marker of individual standing in groups are included, the likelihood of turnout rises dramatically.

    Full text: https://www.people.fas.harvard.edu/~iversen/PDFfiles/AbramsIversenSoskice2010.pdf

  • Proporzionale se vi pare. Le elezioni politiche del 2008

    Proporzionale se vi pare. Le elezioni politiche del 2008

    R. D’Alimonte, A. Chiaramonte (a cura di)

    Proporzionale se vi pare. Le elezioni politiche del 2008

    Bologna, Il Mulino, 2010

    ISBN 978-88-15-13676-3
    La Seconda Repubblica ha ormai compiuto quindici anni. In questo arco di tempo si sono svolte cinque elezioni politiche, con due sistemi elettorali diversi: un maggioritario di collegio con quota proporzionale per le prime tre; un proporzionale con premio di maggioranza per le ultime due. In entrambi i casi, sistemi misti portatori di un bipolarismo imperfetto, che fino al 2006 è stato molto frammentato. Inaspettatamente, nelle elezioni del 2008 – cui questo libro è dedicato – il quadro cambia radicalmente. Da maxi che erano le coalizioni diventano mini; alla Camera dei deputati i gruppi parlamentari si riducono da undici a cinque; i partiti di governo da otto a due. E qui viene utile il richiamo a Pirandello, per cogliere l’ambiguità del responso elettorale. Date le stesse regole del 2006, il copione pareva già scritto. E invece, con l’entrata in scena di Pd e Pdl, sono cambiati i personaggi principali e con essi il ruolo dei comprimari. Qual è allora il nostro “vero” sistema elettorale? E quali i “veri” risultati che ha prodotto, quelli del 2006 o quelli del 2008? In altri termini, il sistema partitico emerso dalle ultime elezioni è destinato a durare? Interrogativi a cui il volume fornisce una risposta qualificata e documentata.

  • Cultura politica, democrazia e partecipazione in Toscana

    Lunedì 21 giugno, presso la sede della Regione Toscana a Palazzo Cerretani, è stata presentata la ricerca “Cultura politica, democrazia e partecipazione in Toscana”, commissionata dalla Regione Toscana e condotta dal CISE.
    La ricerca si basa su due indagini. Una prima indagine di tipo CATI (interviste telefoniche, basate su questionario, ad un campione rappresentativo della popolazione toscana) e una seconda indagine più approfondita – basata su interviste in profondità, condotte faccia a faccia. La ricerca si propone di fornire dati per rispondere ad alcuni interrogativi: quali sono le caratteristiche fondamentali della cultura politica dei toscani? Esistono ancora, o si stanno esaurendo, quelle specificità che hanno caratterizzato in Toscana il rapporto tra cittadini e partiti? Fiducia e capitale sociale: come sta cambiando il rapporto tra cittadini toscani e istituzioni? Associazionismo e partecipazione politica: per i cittadini esiste un rapporto stabile tra le due attività, o esse si vanno divaricando? Quale può essere il ruolo delle nuove forme di partecipazione politica?
    E’ possibile scaricare il programma del convegno e i primi materiali della ricerca: