The year of challengers?
Issues, public opinion, and elections in Western Europe in 2017
edited by Lorenzo De Sio and Aldo Paparo
Within the seven-month period going from mid-March to mid-October of 2017, five Western-European democracies held their general elections: the Netherlands, France, the United Kingdom, Germany, and Austria. This provided an exceptional opportunity to study public opinion structures in these countries in the particularly turbulent context that followed disruptive electoral developments such as the Brexit referendum and the election of Donald Trump. To exploit this opportunity, the CISE launched an innovative comparative research project to empirically assess before the elections the preferences of...
Introduction: Mapping public opinion on issues in elections across Europe in 2017
Lorenzo De Sio and Aldo Paparo
Part I – Netherlands
The Dutch Parliamentary election of 2017: a case study of issue competition
Lorenzo De Sio
Towards the next Dutch general election: issues at stake, support and priority
Vincenzo Emanuele, Lorenzo De Sio and Mathilde van Ditmars
Towards the next Dutch general election: party credibility on different issues
Aldo Paparo, Lorenzo De Sio and Mathilde van Ditmars
Towards the next Dutch general election: the issue opportunity structure for parties
Nicola Maggini, Lorenzo De Sio and Mathilde van Ditmars
It's the culture, stupid! Issue competition in the 2017 Dutch election
Lorenzo De Sio...
(Traduzione in italiano di Elisabetta Mannoni)
Partendo dagli strumenti forniti dalla issue yield theory (De Sio and Weber 2014), l’analisi si basa sui dati raccolti dal CISE tramite un’inchiesta CAWI lanciata poche settimane prima delle elezioni generali nel Regno Unito. Analogamente a quanto già fatto prima delle elezioni parlamentari in Olanda lo scorso marzo e delle presidenziali francesi lo scorso aprile, ci basiamo su un metodo innovativo di misurazione delle tematiche posizionali, che fornisce un indice cosiddetto di issue yield comune per questa tipologia di tematiche. Le tematiche posizionali sono generalmente definite in riferimento a due obiettivi opposti (ad esempio,...
Building on the tools provided by issue yield theory (De Sio and Weber 2014), this analysis looks at the data collected by CISE through a CAWI survey launched a few weeks before the British general election. Similarly to what we have recently done before the Dutch parliamentary election last March and the French Presidential election last April, we rely on an innovative measurement of positional issues, which provides a common issue yield index for this type of issues. Positional issues are in general, defined by reference to two rival goals (e.g. progressive vs. traditional morality): the issue yield measure assesses the...
Beyond the study of the issues that are considered as a priority, another interesting aspect of the survey conducted by the CISE (Italian Center for Electoral Studies) in view of the next UK general election, refers to the support accorded by voters to 18 positional issues, selected in cooperation with a team of British researchers. Specifically, each respondent was asked to position himself on a 6-point scale where the points 1 and 6 represent the two rival goals to be pursued on a given issue. Looking at the configuration of voters’ support for the different issues will allow us...
Abbonati per ricevere gli avvisi di nuove analisi CISE
Cerca l’icona della campanella nell’angolo in basso a destra del tuo schermo: clicca, e potrai sempre attivare e disattivare facilmente gli avvisi