Panel 1: David W. Brady and Arjun  S. Wilkins Secular realignment in the United States 1937-2010: a preliminary analysis Samuel J. Abrams and Morris P. Fiorina Are leaning independents deluded or dishonest weak partisans? Douglas Rivers Party identification in the US over the electoral cycle Panel 2: Roberto D’Alimonte, Lorenzo De Sio and Nicola Maggini Party identification and party system change: Italy between the First and the Second Republic Hermann Schmitt and Paolo Segatti Political parties, left-right orientations and the vote in Italy, France and Germany Panel 3: Piergiorgio Corbetta and Pasquale Colloca Political orientation in times of crisis in Italy: the consequences of job precariousness Radoslaw Markowski Idiosyncrasies of party identification in...

Aldo Paparo, Lorenzo De Sio, Mathilde van Ditmars As seen in the analysis by Emanuele, De Sio and van Ditmars, the survey data we collected on Dutch public opinion includes data on agreement and priority of a series of important policy goals. By looking at those we were able to map the general state of Dutch public opinion and the structure of opportunity on various issue dimensions. However, the data we collected also include information concerning the credibility of each of the different parties. Basically, respondents were asked to indicate all parties that they considered credible to achieve a particular...

The year of challengers? Issues, public opinion, and elections in Western Europe in 2017 edited by Lorenzo De Sio and Aldo Paparo Within the seven-month period going from mid-March to mid-October of 2017, five Western-European democracies held their general elections: the Netherlands, France, the United Kingdom, Germany, and Austria. This provided an exceptional opportunity to study public opinion structures in these countries in the particularly turbulent context that followed disruptive electoral developments such as the Brexit referendum and the election of Donald Trump. To exploit this opportunity, the CISE launched an innovative comparative research project to empirically assess before the elections the preferences of...

  Introduction 2019 European elections in Croatia were held in a very different political environment than previous EP elections. Economic conditions have improved as GDP growth resumed in 2015, unemployment has declined by more than a half and the government fiscal position has also improved. However, the entry into the EU and expiration of the restrictions on the free movement of labour produced a mass emigration of mostly younger population towards countries of Western Europe. Thus, despite the migrant crisis that affected Croatia in 2015 and 2016, and the constant pressure of migration on the border with Bosnia and Herzegovina, it...

Building on the tools provided by issue yield theory (De Sio and Weber 2014), this analysis looks at the data collected by CISE through a CAWI survey launched a few weeks before the British general election. Similarly to what we have recently done before the Dutch parliamentary election last March and the French Presidential election last April, we rely on an innovative measurement of positional issues, which provides a common issue yield index for this type of issues. Positional issues are in general, defined by reference to two rival goals (e.g. progressive vs. traditional morality): the issue yield measure assesses the...