Ricerca

Ricerca

Ricerca

The economic crisis, the fall of the Berlusconi’s cabinet in November 2011 and the formation of the technocratic cabinet led by Mario Monti provided the ground for the general elections held in February 2013, which reached a stalemate, contrary to what most observers expected. The center-left coalition won in the Chamber but not in the Senate. The result in the Senate made it impossible to form a majority coalition between Bersani’s left and Monti’s center, which many considered the most likely outcome of these elections. In the end, the only available option for the PD, the winner in the Chamber, was to form a cabinet with Berlusconi’s PdL. There are many factors explaining this destabilizing result. The first and most important is the success of a brand new anti-establishment party, the Five Star Movement, which attracted voters from across the political spectrum and became the largest party in the country. The second is the inability of the center-left not only to extend its electoral base at a time when the center-right lost almost half of the votes received in 2008, but also to keep its previous electorate. The third factor is the peculiar nature and functioning of the electoral system for the Senate.

Gli sfidanti al governo Disincanto, nuovi conflitti e diverse strategie dietro il voto del 4 marzo 2018 a cura di Vincenzo Emanuele e Aldo Paparo Per la prima volta in Italia (e in Europa Occidentale) c'è un governo composto integralmente da partiti “sfidanti” (challengers): partiti in contrapposizione con i grandi partiti mainstream, tradizionalmente di governo, e portatori di grandi istanze di rinnovamento. Già, ma da dove viene questo risultato? Tre sono i fattori identificati nelle analisi CISE raccolte in questo volume (basate su analisi dei risultati ufficiali e su dati di sondaggio esclusivi): Il disincanto di un Paese che sembra non solo essere rimasto...

CHIARAMONTE, A. C. A. (2014). Le elezioni politiche del 2013: uno tsunami senza vincitori. In C. Fusaro & A. Kreppel (Eds.), Politica in Italia. I fatti dell’anno e le interpretazioni - Edizione 2014 (pp. 51–70). BOLOGNA: Il Mulino.

Segnalazione bibliografica. Autori: Jane Green e Will Jennings British Journal of Political Science 42, 311-343 (April 2012) Abstract There is a discernable mood in macro-level public evaluations of party issue competence. This paper argues that voters use heuristics to transfer issue competence ratings of parties between issues, therefore issue competence ratings move in common. Events, economic shocks and the costs of governing reinforce these shared dynamics. These expectations are analysed using issue competence data in Britain 1950–2008, and using Stimson's dyad ratios algorithm to estimate ‘macro-competence’. Effects on macro-competence are found for events and economic shocks, time in government, leader ratings, economic evaluations and...

Nicola Maggini, Lorenzo De Sio and Mathilde van Ditmars Following on the tools provided by issue yield theory (De Sio and Weber 2014), this analysis provides a specific perspective on the data we at CISE collected through a CAWI survey few weeks before the Dutch election. We rely here on an innovative measurement of positional issues, which allows to derive a common issue yield index for this kind of issues. Positional issues are, in general, defined by reference to two rival goals (e.g. progressive vs. traditional morality): the issue yield measure permits us to assess the presence of strategic issue opportunities for a...